Operational Gains Shock Analysts In LMIRT’s Strong 3Q 2025

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LMIR Trust
LMIR Trust

4 Surprising Truths Hidden in a Shopping Mall’s Financial Report

Introduction: Beyond the “Retail Apocalypse” Narrative

The dominant story about physical retail often revolves around decline, empty storefronts, and the unstoppable rise of e-commerce. The term “retail apocalypse” suggests an industry in its final days. However, a deep dive into the latest financial results of a major Indonesian retail trust, LMIR Trust, reveals a far more complex, resilient, and strategic story. By looking past the headlines, we can uncover surprising truths about how the modern shopping mall is adapting to win in a changed world.

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1. Malls Aren’t Just Surviving—The Good Ones Are Winning

Despite broad industry pressures, the idea that all malls are struggling is a misconception. The financial data shows a clear divergence between average performers and top-tier, well-managed portfolios, pointing to a “flight to quality” in the retail property sector.

As of the third quarter of 2025, LMIR Trust’s portfolio occupancy rate stood at a healthy 84.4%. This figure is significantly stronger than the industry average in Indonesia, which was only 77.9% for the same period.

Even more telling is the trust’s pricing power. The portfolio reported a healthy 4.6% rental reversion, meaning it was able to increase rents on renewed leases. This is the ultimate proof that demand for space in these malls is robust, directly contradicting the “retail apocalypse” narrative.

This outperformance isn’t just about filling space; it’s about attracting people. Overall shopper traffic across the trust’s malls is recovering, showing a 4.6% increase in Q3 2025 compared to the same quarter last year, rising from 30.7 million to 32.1 million visitors. This demonstrates that in a tough market, tenants and shoppers are consolidating around the strongest, best-managed assets.

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2. The Real Growth Story Is Hidden by Currency Fluctuations

A company’s performance can appear dramatically different depending on the currency used for reporting, which can mask the true health of its underlying operations.

When reported in Singapore Dollars (SGD), LMIR Trust’s Net Property Income (NPI) for Q3 2025 grew by a solid 8.5% to S$31.1 million compared to the previous year.

However, when viewed in the local Indonesian Rupiah (IDR), the currency in which the malls actually operate, the performance was nearly twice as strong. NPI in IDR terms grew by a remarkable 15.2% to IDR 395.3 billion. This significant difference is due to the depreciation of the IDR against the SGD.

This distinction is critical. It reveals that the core business—the day-to-day operations of the malls—is much healthier and growing more robustly than the top-line numbers in a foreign currency might suggest.

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3. The Future of Malls Is Less About Shopping and More About Experience

The most forward-thinking mall operators understand they are no longer just competing with other physical stores but with the convenience of online shopping. The key to relevance is transformation, shifting from being simple retail spaces to becoming vibrant community hubs for dining, leisure, and entertainment. LMIR Trust’s strategy clearly reflects this shift.

As CEO James Liew stated:

“Our strategic focus on enhancing asset quality and optimising the tenant mix is clearly bearing fruit. The asset enhancement initiatives (“AEIs”) are driving stronger shopper engagement, while our shift towards food & beverage and leisure and entertainment sectors is reinforcing the portfolio’s resilience and competitiveness.”

This strategy is visible in concrete actions across the portfolio. The trust is executing on a series of Asset Enhancement Initiatives (AEIs), such as reconfiguring spaces at Sun Plaza and downsizing a hypermart at Malang Town Square to create new specialty units. This deliberate pivot repositions malls as destinations for experiences, creating a defensive moat against online competitors by focusing on communal activities—dining, entertainment, and leisure—that cannot be digitized and delivered to a doorstep.

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4. Strong Performance Doesn’t Always Mean Big Payouts

In a surprising move for a real estate trust, especially one reporting positive income growth, LMIR Trust has halted distributions to investors. While this might initially seem like a negative sign, it is a disciplined and strategic decision focused on long-term financial health.

The trust has explicitly stated that it has ceased distributions to holders of its perpetual securities in order to “conserve cash”. This decision is driven by a clear rationale of prudent capital management, prioritizing funds to:

  1. Meet monthly principal loan repayments on its IDR-denominated bank loans.
  2. Redeem the remaining US dollar bonds that are maturing in February 2026.
  3. Fund ongoing Asset Enhancement Initiatives (AEIs) to continue upgrading the portfolio.

This focus on strengthening the balance sheet is further reinforced by a recently launched rights issue intended to raise up to S$63.0 million. This isn’t merely about conserving cash; it’s a comprehensive strategy to fortify the balance sheet for the future. By simultaneously paying down existing debt (IDR loans and USD bonds) while reinvesting in the portfolio’s core assets (AEIs), the trust is executing a classic long-term value strategy: de-risking its financial structure while funding the very initiatives that will drive future growth.

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Conclusion: A New Chapter for Retail

The story of retail is not one of simple decline but of complex adaptation and strategy. A closer look at the financial reports of an operator like LMIR Trust reveals a dynamic industry in transformation. The malls that are thriving are those that are actively managed, strategically repositioned as experience hubs, and managed with long-term financial discipline. The narrative is shifting from “apocalypse” to “evolution.”

As our shopping and social habits continue to evolve, what will we demand from these critical public spaces next?

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